PAOK vs Heart of Midlothian analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.8%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.6%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.3%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
10%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.7%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
21.2%
18.8%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.1%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
PAOK
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2023 |
PAO
2 - 1
KIF
83%
13%
4%
|
83 | 58 | 25 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2023 |
HOM
1 - 2
PAO
32%
25%
42%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2023 |
PAO
3 - 0
TRI
76%
17%
7%
|
83 | 66 | 17 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2023 |
PAO
3 - 0
HKS
36%
25%
39%
|
82 | 85 | 3 | +1 |
| 10 Aug. 2023 |
HKS
0 - 0
PAO
57%
22%
21%
|
82 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Heart of Midlothian
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2023 |
DUN
1 - 0
HOM
36%
26%
38%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2023 |
HOM
1 - 2
PAO
32%
25%
42%
|
77 | 83 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2023 |
HOM
4 - 0
PAR
66%
19%
15%
|
76 | 67 | 9 | +1 |
| 17 Aug. 2023 |
HOM
3 - 1
RBK
40%
23%
37%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2023 |
HOM
0 - 0
KIL
63%
22%
15%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | 0 |