Qualif. Champions Tercera Ronda Final
Global 4-5
PAOK vs Ajax analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.7%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.9%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.5%
1-0
6%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.5%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
44.1%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
9%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.8%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
13.3%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.5%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
PAOK
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jul. 2019 |
FOR
1 - 5
PAO
19%
23%
59%
|
86 | 65 | 21 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2019 |
PAO
1 - 1
ALT
72%
17%
11%
|
86 | 77 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2019 |
AND
1 - 3
PAO
27%
26%
47%
|
86 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2019 |
STR
0 - 4
PAO
29%
26%
45%
|
86 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2019 |
UCL
0 - 5
PAO
17%
23%
60%
|
86 | 63 | 23 | 0 |
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Aug. 2019 |
VIT
2 - 2
AJA
16%
19%
66%
|
89 | 80 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2019 |
AJA
1 - 1
SIV
82%
12%
6%
|
89 | 75 | 14 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2019 |
AJA
2 - 0
PSV
44%
22%
34%
|
89 | 89 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2019 |
AJA
1 - 2
PAN
84%
11%
5%
|
89 | 75 | 14 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2019 |
AJA
6 - 2
OFI
88%
9%
3%
|
89 | 61 | 28 | 0 |