PAOK vs AEK Athens analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.4%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.3%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
24.4%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.9%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-6%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
58
1º
3º
2º
53
3º
4º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
75 | 15 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
58 | 12 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
59 | 9 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
53 | 0 |
4º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League
|
0% | 0% |
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
100% | 0% |
|
Europa League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
PAOK
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 2025 |
OLP
4 - 2
PAO
47%
24%
29%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2025 |
PAO
2 - 1
PAN
55%
23%
21%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2025 |
PAN
3 - 1
PAO
41%
26%
33%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2025 |
PAO
2 - 1
OLP
55%
23%
21%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2025 |
AEK
2 - 3
PAO
44%
25%
31%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
AEK Athens
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 2025 |
AEK
1 - 2
PAN
50%
26%
25%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2025 |
AEK
0 - 2
OLP
49%
26%
25%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2025 |
OLP
1 - 0
AEK
49%
24%
27%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2025 |
PAN
3 - 1
AEK
42%
27%
32%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2025 |
AEK
2 - 0
OLP
50%
24%
25%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |