PAOK vs AEK Athens analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.7%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.8%
2-0
8%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.4%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
25.9%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.5%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
+14%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
60
1º
4º
1º
59
1º
4º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
60 | 60 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
59 | 59 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
57 | 57 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
56 | 56 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
42 | 42 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
34 | 34 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
31 | 31 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
28 | 28 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
27 | 27 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
25 | 25 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
20 | 20 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
12º
|
20 | 20 |
12º
|
0% | |
|
13º
|
19 | 19 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
18 | 18 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
PAOK
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2024 |
ATR
0 - 2
PAO
22%
24%
54%
|
81 | 71 | 10 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2024 |
PAO
5 - 0
PAN
77%
15%
8%
|
82 | 61 | 21 | -1 |
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
PAO
2 - 1
PAN
55%
24%
21%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | +1 |
| 21 Jan. 2024 |
VNF
1 - 5
PAO
15%
22%
63%
|
81 | 61 | 20 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2024 |
PAN
0 - 4
PAO
18%
21%
61%
|
82 | 61 | 21 | -1 |
Matches
AEK Athens
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2024 |
AEK
4 - 2
TRI
72%
18%
9%
|
81 | 68 | 13 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
AEK
3 - 0
OFI
69%
19%
12%
|
81 | 67 | 14 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2024 |
ATR
0 - 5
AEK
26%
26%
48%
|
81 | 72 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2024 |
ARI
1 - 1
AEK
41%
26%
34%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2024 |
AEK
2 - 2
PAN
51%
25%
24%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |