Panevėžys II vs Nevezis analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
23.6%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.8%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.1%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
6%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.6%
51.8%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
0-1
11.5%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.1%
0-2
9.4%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.9%
0-3
5.1%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
7.7%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.9%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-24%
-24%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
13
6º
16º
13º
17
5º
15º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
45 | 75 |
1º
|
89% | |
|
2º
|
38 | 68 |
2º
|
62% | |
|
3º
|
35 | 60 |
3º
|
37.5% | |
|
6º
|
31 | 58 |
4º
|
35.5% | |
|
4º
|
32 | 53 |
5º
|
30.5% | |
|
5º
|
31 | 52 |
6º
|
33% | |
|
|
10º
|
17 | 38 |
7º
|
27% | |
|
14º
|
13 | 37 |
8º
|
24% | |
|
8º
|
18 | 34 |
9º
|
17% | |
|
7º
|
19 | 34 |
10º
|
21% | |
|
9º
|
17 | 32 |
11º
|
13.5% | |
|
11º
|
17 | 28 |
12º
|
15% | |
|
|
13º
|
13 | 28 |
13º
|
11% | |
|
16º
|
11 | 26 |
14º
|
17.5% | |
|
15º
|
11 | 26 |
15º
|
16.5% | |
|
12º
|
14 | 26 |
16º
|
25.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
57.5% | 97% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
13% | 1.5% |
|
Relegation
|
29.5% | 1.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Panevėžys II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2025 |
FKT
6 - 0
PAN
62%
20%
19%
|
50 | 55 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2024 |
MIN
1 - 1
PAN
41%
25%
33%
|
50 | 52 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2024 |
PAN
3 - 1
GKA
42%
24%
34%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | +2 |
| 26 Oct. 2024 |
FKE
4 - 0
PAN
50%
23%
27%
|
49 | 56 | 7 | -1 |
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
PAN
1 - 1
BFA
36%
24%
40%
|
49 | 52 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Nevezis
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 2025 |
NEV
1 - 1
FHL
64%
21%
15%
|
60 | 41 | 19 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2025 |
KZA
1 - 0
NEV
69%
19%
12%
|
60 | 77 | 17 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2024 |
NEV
4 - 0
FHL
65%
20%
15%
|
60 | 41 | 19 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2024 |
TRA
3 - 0
NEV
65%
21%
14%
|
60 | 72 | 12 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2024 |
NEV
2 - 2
BEN
39%
27%
34%
|
60 | 67 | 7 | 0 |