Panevėžys II vs Neptunas Klaipėda analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
9.7%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1.2%
3-1
0.6%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
2%
1-0
3.6%
2-1
2.8%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
7.2%
17.2%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.2%
73.1%
Win probability
2.25
Expected goals
0-1
12%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.9%
0-2
13.5%
1-3
6.9%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21.9%
0-3
10.2%
1-4
3.9%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
14.7%
0-4
5.7%
1-5
1.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
7.7%
0-5
2.6%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3.3%
0-6
1%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.2%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-24%
+10%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
13
6º
16º
13º
38
1º
5º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
45 | 75 |
1º
|
89% | |
|
|
2º
|
38 | 68 |
2º
|
62% | |
|
3º
|
35 | 60 |
3º
|
37.5% | |
|
6º
|
31 | 58 |
4º
|
35.5% | |
|
4º
|
32 | 53 |
5º
|
30.5% | |
|
5º
|
31 | 52 |
6º
|
33% | |
|
10º
|
17 | 38 |
7º
|
27% | |
|
14º
|
13 | 37 |
8º
|
24% | |
|
8º
|
18 | 34 |
9º
|
17% | |
|
7º
|
19 | 34 |
10º
|
21% | |
|
9º
|
17 | 32 |
11º
|
13.5% | |
|
11º
|
17 | 28 |
12º
|
15% | |
|
|
13º
|
13 | 28 |
13º
|
11% | |
|
16º
|
11 | 26 |
14º
|
17.5% | |
|
15º
|
11 | 26 |
15º
|
16.5% | |
|
12º
|
14 | 26 |
16º
|
25.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 10.5% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 62% |
|
Mid-table
|
57.5% | 27.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
13% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
29.5% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Panevėžys II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jun. 2025 |
BAB
4 - 2
PAN
74%
16%
9%
|
50 | 66 | 16 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 2025 |
PAN
2 - 1
BEN
17%
24%
60%
|
49 | 65 | 16 | +1 |
| 14 Jun. 2025 |
FKT
7 - 0
PAN
78%
15%
7%
|
49 | 73 | 24 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2025 |
PAN
0 - 3
ZAL
31%
24%
45%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | -1 |
| 24 May. 2025 |
MIN
2 - 0
PAN
42%
25%
33%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Neptunas Klaipėda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jun. 2025 |
NEP
2 - 0
FHL
66%
21%
13%
|
71 | 45 | 26 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 2025 |
FKK
1 - 3
NEP
9%
17%
74%
|
70 | 50 | 20 | +1 |
| 13 Jun. 2025 |
NEP
2 - 0
BFA
66%
20%
14%
|
70 | 58 | 12 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2025 |
FKE
1 - 2
NEP
15%
20%
65%
|
69 | 54 | 15 | +1 |
| 23 May. 2025 |
NEP
1 - 0
ATM
73%
17%
10%
|
69 | 53 | 16 | 0 |