Panevėžys II vs Kauno Žalgiris II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.9%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.6%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.6%
27.3%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.4%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
-24%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
16
6º
16º
12º
14
5º
15º
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
13º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
45 | 75 |
1º
|
88% | |
|
2º
|
38 | 68 |
2º
|
61.5% | |
|
4º
|
34 | 60 |
3º
|
28.5% | |
|
3º
|
35 | 59 |
4º
|
25% | |
|
6º
|
31 | 52 |
5º
|
48.5% | |
|
5º
|
32 | 51 |
6º
|
56% | |
|
14º
|
13 | 37 |
7º
|
26% | |
|
8º
|
18 | 36 |
8º
|
19% | |
|
10º
|
17 | 35 |
9º
|
17% | |
|
7º
|
19 | 34 |
10º
|
12.5% | |
|
9º
|
17 | 32 |
11º
|
13.5% | |
|
|
12º
|
16 | 31 |
12º
|
15% | |
|
11º
|
17 | 28 |
13º
|
14% | |
|
16º
|
11 | 26 |
14º
|
12.5% | |
|
|
13º
|
14 | 26 |
15º
|
19.5% | |
|
15º
|
11 | 26 |
16º
|
25.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
72.5% | 43% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
14.5% | 14% |
|
Relegation
|
13% | 43% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Panevėžys II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 2025 |
BFA
2 - 2
PAN
48%
23%
28%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2025 |
PAN
2 - 0
FKE
34%
25%
41%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | +1 |
| 29 Mar. 2025 |
ATM
1 - 4
PAN
58%
22%
20%
|
48 | 55 | 7 | +2 |
| 15 Mar. 2025 |
PAN
0 - 3
NEV
24%
25%
52%
|
49 | 60 | 11 | -1 |
| 08 Mar. 2025 |
FKT
6 - 0
PAN
62%
20%
19%
|
50 | 55 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Kauno Žalgiris II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 2025 |
FKK
2 - 0
FHL
56%
22%
22%
|
50 | 43 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2025 |
FKK
1 - 0
LIE
69%
18%
13%
|
50 | 37 | 13 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2025 |
BFA
2 - 0
FKK
54%
23%
23%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | -1 |
| 14 Mar. 2025 |
FKK
1 - 0
FKE
30%
24%
46%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | +1 |
| 07 Mar. 2025 |
ATM
1 - 0
FKK
56%
23%
21%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | 0 |