Panevėžys II vs Atmosfera analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
30.4%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.1%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.5%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.6%
25%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25%
44.7%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
22.1%
0-2
7.4%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
13.4%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
6.1%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-24%
-8%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
13
6º
16º
13º
18
5º
15º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
45 | 75 |
1º
|
89% | |
|
2º
|
38 | 68 |
2º
|
62% | |
|
3º
|
35 | 60 |
3º
|
37.5% | |
|
6º
|
31 | 58 |
4º
|
35.5% | |
|
4º
|
32 | 53 |
5º
|
30.5% | |
|
5º
|
31 | 52 |
6º
|
33% | |
|
10º
|
17 | 38 |
7º
|
27% | |
|
14º
|
13 | 37 |
8º
|
24% | |
|
|
8º
|
18 | 34 |
9º
|
17% | |
|
7º
|
19 | 34 |
10º
|
21% | |
|
9º
|
17 | 32 |
11º
|
13.5% | |
|
11º
|
17 | 28 |
12º
|
15% | |
|
|
13º
|
13 | 28 |
13º
|
11% | |
|
16º
|
11 | 26 |
14º
|
17.5% | |
|
15º
|
11 | 26 |
15º
|
16.5% | |
|
12º
|
14 | 26 |
16º
|
25.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
57.5% | 95% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
13% | 4.5% |
|
Relegation
|
29.5% | 0.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Panevėžys II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jul. 2025 |
PAN
0 - 2
FKT
16%
20%
64%
|
49 | 63 | 14 | 0 |
| 25 Jun. 2025 |
PAN
2 - 5
NEP
10%
17%
73%
|
50 | 71 | 21 | -1 |
| 22 Jun. 2025 |
BAB
4 - 2
PAN
74%
16%
9%
|
50 | 66 | 16 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 2025 |
PAN
2 - 1
BEN
17%
24%
60%
|
49 | 65 | 16 | +1 |
| 14 Jun. 2025 |
FKT
7 - 0
PAN
78%
15%
7%
|
49 | 73 | 24 | 0 |
Matches
Atmosfera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jul. 2025 |
FKK
1 - 3
ATM
32%
25%
42%
|
54 | 49 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Jun. 2025 |
BFA
1 - 0
ATM
50%
24%
26%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | -1 |
| 21 Jun. 2025 |
ATM
5 - 0
FKE
42%
24%
34%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | +2 |
| 17 Jun. 2025 |
ATM
0 - 1
LIE
71%
17%
12%
|
54 | 44 | 10 | -1 |
| 13 Jun. 2025 |
NEV
0 - 1
ATM
57%
22%
21%
|
53 | 58 | 5 | +1 |