Panelefsiniakos vs Apollon Parga analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
90.3%
Win probability
3.22
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.3%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.8%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.9%
7-0
1.9%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
2.2%
6-0
4.2%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.1%
+6
5%
5-0
7.8%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
9.6%
4-0
12.1%
5-1
3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
15.5%
3-0
15%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
20.4%
2-0
14%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.9%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
15.5%
7.4%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
3.4%
2-2
1.1%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
7.4%
2.2%
Win probability
0.39
Expected goals
0-1
1.1%
1-2
0.7%
2-3
0.1%
3-4
0%
-1
1.9%
0-2
0.2%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.3%
0-3
0%
-3
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
57
1º
10º
3º
23
7º
13º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
59 | 60 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
55 | 58 |
2º
|
71% | |
|
|
2º
|
57 | 57 |
3º
|
71% | |
|
4º
|
43 | 44 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
40 | 41 |
5º
|
68.5% | |
|
|
6º
|
39 | 40 |
6º
|
26% | |
|
7º
|
38 | 38 |
7º
|
57.5% | |
|
8º
|
36 | 37 |
8º
|
32.5% | |
|
9º
|
33 | 36 |
9º
|
75% | |
|
10º
|
25 | 26 |
10º
|
93.5% | |
|
|
11º
|
23 | 23 |
11º
|
93.5% | |
|
12º
|
19 | 20 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
14 | 14 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
9 | 10 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Panelefsiniakos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Dec. 2022 |
POF
0 - 1
PAN
23%
22%
55%
|
38 | 29 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2022 |
AEL
1 - 1
PAN
39%
25%
37%
|
38 | 36 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2022 |
PAN
2 - 0
NAF
64%
19%
17%
|
37 | 33 | 4 | +1 |
| 13 Nov. 2022 |
TRI
1 - 0
PAN
22%
23%
55%
|
38 | 28 | 10 | -1 |
| 20 Oct. 2022 |
PAN
1 - 3
APO
40%
26%
34%
|
39 | 42 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Apollon Parga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Dec. 2022 |
ASA
1 - 1
PAO
6%
14%
80%
|
10 | 34 | 24 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2022 |
DGN
0 - 0
ASA
88%
9%
3%
|
9 | 21 | 12 | +1 |
| 20 Nov. 2022 |
ASA
0 - 0
17%
19%
64%
|
9 | 14 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2022 |
TIL
1 - 0
ASA
86%
10%
3%
|
9 | 42 | 33 | 0 |