Pancratius vs GDA analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
77.1%
Win probability
2.74
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.3%
5-0
3.6%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.2%
4-0
6.6%
5-1
3%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10.2%
3-0
9.6%
4-1
5.5%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.5%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.2%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.5%
14%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
6.4%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
14%
8.9%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6.3%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pancratius
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2012 |
PAN
3 - 2
VEL
50%
22%
28%
|
32 | 33 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2012 |
VUC
1 - 2
PAN
48%
23%
29%
|
31 | 31 | 0 | +1 |
| 25 Mar. 2012 |
PAN
4 - 1
PAP
74%
16%
11%
|
30 | 21 | 9 | +1 |
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
SJC
3 - 0
PAN
62%
19%
19%
|
32 | 35 | 3 | -2 |
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
PAN
4 - 0
HVV
70%
17%
13%
|
31 | 24 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
GDA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2012 |
GDA
1 - 2
EXC
29%
22%
48%
|
22 | 30 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2012 |
GDA
0 - 3
QUI
27%
23%
50%
|
23 | 35 | 12 | -1 |
| 25 Mar. 2012 |
NIE
1 - 0
GDA
70%
17%
13%
|
23 | 33 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
GDA
1 - 2
ADO
32%
23%
45%
|
24 | 33 | 9 | -1 |
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
SCN
2 - 0
GDA
67%
18%
15%
|
25 | 32 | 7 | -1 |