UCL Qualifying Third round Final
Global 5-4
Panathinaikos vs Wisla Kraków analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.9%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.2%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.4%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.9%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
10%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.3%
26.8%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.3%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Panathinaikos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Aug. 2005 |
WIS
3 - 1
PAN
59%
22%
19%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2005 |
OFI
1 - 2
PAN
36%
28%
36%
|
83 | 74 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2005 |
PAN
0 - 0
AEK
49%
24%
28%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2005 |
PAO
1 - 1
PAN
54%
25%
21%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2005 |
PAN
6 - 3
HAL
71%
18%
11%
|
83 | 71 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Wisla Kraków
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Aug. 2005 |
WIS
3 - 1
PAN
59%
22%
19%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2005 |
DYS
2 - 4
WIS
47%
23%
30%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | +1 |
| 30 Jul. 2005 |
WIS
3 - 0
GKS
78%
15%
7%
|
79 | 66 | 13 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2005 |
GOR
1 - 1
WIS
33%
25%
42%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 2005 |
ZAL
3 - 1
WIS
32%
24%
45%
|
79 | 72 | 7 | 0 |