Q. Europa League Third Round Final
Global 1-1
Panathinaikos vs Ajax analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
20.9%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.8%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
5.6%
1-0
4.6%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
0.1%
+1
12.9%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.9%
58.1%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
4%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.8%
0-2
8.4%
1-3
6.8%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
17.6%
0-3
5.8%
1-4
3.5%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.3%
0-4
3%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
4.8%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.8%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Panathinaikos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Aug. 2024 |
BOT
0 - 4
PAN
31%
27%
43%
|
83 | 74 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2024 |
PAN
2 - 1
BOT
61%
21%
18%
|
83 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2024 |
PAN
1 - 0
MAC
46%
24%
30%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2024 |
PAN
3 - 1
AEK
53%
24%
23%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2024 |
EBT
1 - 0
PAN
27%
27%
46%
|
83 | 73 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Aug. 2024 |
VOJ
1 - 3
AJA
22%
21%
57%
|
89 | 82 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2024 |
AJA
1 - 0
VOJ
68%
19%
14%
|
89 | 83 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2024 |
AJA
1 - 0
OLP
69%
18%
13%
|
89 | 83 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2024 |
AJA
2 - 1
WAS
71%
17%
12%
|
89 | 78 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2024 |
AJA
2 - 1
GLA
69%
18%
13%
|
89 | 82 | 7 | 0 |