Panamá U20 vs Portugal U20 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
17.1%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.1%
2-0
2.3%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.2%
1-0
5%
2-1
4.7%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.4%
21%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
10%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21%
61.9%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
0-1
10.6%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
24.2%
0-2
10.6%
1-3
6.6%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18.9%
0-3
7%
1-4
3.3%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11%
0-4
3.5%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.9%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Panamá U20
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jul. 2011 |
PAN
1 - 1
MEX
16%
21%
64%
|
53 | 74 | 21 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2011 |
PAN
0 - 0
NGA
26%
23%
51%
|
53 | 63 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Jun. 2011 |
ECU
4 - 0
PAN
55%
22%
22%
|
54 | 58 | 4 | -1 |
| 02 Jun. 2011 |
GTM
1 - 2
PAN
47%
24%
29%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | +1 |
| 10 Apr. 2011 |
GTM
0 - 0
PAN
47%
24%
30%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Portugal U20
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jul. 2011 |
POR
2 - 0
NGA
62%
22%
17%
|
73 | 63 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2011 |
MEX
2 - 2
POR
49%
24%
27%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2011 |
POR
0 - 0
NGA
62%
21%
17%
|
73 | 63 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2011 |
POR
2 - 2
EGY
65%
20%
14%
|
73 | 61 | 12 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2011 |
POR
0 - 0
EGY
67%
20%
14%
|
73 | 61 | 12 | 0 |