Panama vs Paraguay analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
18.7%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
3%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.2%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
4.3%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
13.3%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
11.2%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
26.7%
54.7%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
16.3%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
26.7%
0-2
11.9%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
16.8%
0-3
5.8%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.2%
-3
7.5%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Panama
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jun. 2003 |
PAN
1 - 0
CUB
46%
26%
28%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Jun. 2003 |
PAN
2 - 0
CUB
44%
27%
29%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2003 |
PAN
0 - 1
CRC
13%
21%
66%
|
74 | 88 | 14 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2003 |
PAN
0 - 1
NIC
76%
16%
9%
|
74 | 54 | 20 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2003 |
HND
1 - 1
PAN
76%
16%
9%
|
74 | 88 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Paraguay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jul. 2003 |
JAM
2 - 0
PAR
24%
27%
49%
|
91 | 79 | 12 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2003 |
USA
2 - 0
PAR
50%
26%
24%
|
91 | 91 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Jul. 2003 |
PAR
1 - 0
SLV
77%
16%
7%
|
91 | 75 | 16 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 2003 |
SLV
0 - 1
PAR
25%
26%
50%
|
91 | 76 | 15 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2003 |
JPN
0 - 0
PAR
49%
25%
26%
|
91 | 90 | 1 | 0 |