Pampilhosa vs Ideal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39.4%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.1%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.7%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.2%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
36.2%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.2%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
4%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.6%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pampilhosa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 2016 |
OPE
2 - 0
PAM
66%
21%
13%
|
40 | 54 | 14 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
PAM
2 - 1
ACA
51%
22%
28%
|
39 | 37 | 2 | +1 |
| 14 Feb. 2016 |
SAB
1 - 2
PAM
39%
24%
38%
|
39 | 37 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2016 |
ANG
2 - 1
PAM
61%
22%
17%
|
39 | 47 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2016 |
PAM
2 - 2
OLI
43%
24%
33%
|
39 | 41 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Ideal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 2016 |
IDE
0 - 0
TOU
56%
23%
21%
|
43 | 40 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
IDE
2 - 0
ADN
43%
25%
32%
|
42 | 44 | 2 | +1 |
| 14 Feb. 2016 |
OPE
3 - 1
IDE
64%
21%
15%
|
42 | 55 | 13 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2016 |
OLI
2 - 2
IDE
45%
25%
30%
|
42 | 41 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2016 |
IDE
0 - 0
ADN
48%
24%
28%
|
42 | 43 | 1 | 0 |