Paloma Hamburg vs Union Tornesch analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
82.8%
Win probability
3.15
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1.2%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.6%
6-0
2.6%
7-1
0.9%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.7%
5-0
4.9%
6-1
2.1%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.5%
4-0
7.8%
5-1
4%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
+4
12.8%
3-0
9.9%
4-1
6.3%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.1%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.5%
1-0
6%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.7%
10.9%
Draw
0-0
1.9%
1-1
4.9%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
10.9%
6.3%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
1.5%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
4.5%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+29%
-3%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
50
4º
15º
7º
24
15º
18º
17º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
17º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
82 | 82 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
77 | 77 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
60 | 63 |
3º
|
82.5% | |
|
3º
|
62 | 62 |
4º
|
82.5% | |
|
5º
|
59 | 59 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
56 | 56 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
50 | 50 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
49 | 49 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
48 | 48 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
46 | 46 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
46 | 46 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
42 | 42 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
39 | 39 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
34 | 34 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
32 | 32 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
30 | 30 |
16º
|
100% | |
|
|
17º
|
24 | 24 |
17º
|
100% | |
|
18º
|
17 | 17 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Paloma Hamburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
WAN
3 - 4
PAL
35%
24%
41%
|
34 | 28 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
PAL
1 - 3
BUC
80%
12%
8%
|
35 | 23 | 12 | -1 |
| 12 Sep. 2023 |
PAL
2 - 1
RUG
76%
14%
10%
|
34 | 25 | 9 | +1 |
| 09 Sep. 2023 |
DNB
0 - 1
PAL
20%
20%
60%
|
34 | 21 | 13 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2023 |
PAL
3 - 1
SUD
47%
21%
32%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | +2 |
Matches
Union Tornesch
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
UTO
3 - 4
DNB
52%
19%
28%
|
21 | 20 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2023 |
SUD
8 - 0
UTO
83%
10%
7%
|
22 | 33 | 11 | -1 |
| 12 Sep. 2023 |
UTO
1 - 1
HAL
18%
19%
63%
|
21 | 32 | 11 | +1 |
| 10 Sep. 2023 |
HEB
3 - 3
UTO
83%
11%
6%
|
20 | 34 | 14 | +1 |
| 03 Sep. 2023 |
UTO
0 - 4
VHG
23%
20%
58%
|
21 | 29 | 8 | -1 |