Paloma Hamburg vs Süderelbe analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
3.5%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.8%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
14%
1-0
4.5%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
5.1%
4-3
1.5%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.7%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
7.2%
3-3
2.9%
4-4
0.7%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
20.8%
32.2%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
1.3%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
16.1%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
9.4%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
4.3%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+29%
+43%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
50
4º
15º
7º
48
7º
14º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
82 | 82 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
77 | 77 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
60 | 63 |
3º
|
82.5% | |
|
3º
|
62 | 62 |
4º
|
82.5% | |
|
5º
|
59 | 59 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
56 | 56 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
50 | 50 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
49 | 49 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
48 | 48 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
46 | 46 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
46 | 46 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
42 | 42 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
39 | 39 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
34 | 34 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
32 | 32 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
30 | 30 |
16º
|
100% | |
|
17º
|
24 | 24 |
17º
|
100% | |
|
18º
|
17 | 17 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Paloma Hamburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2023 |
HAL
0 - 1
PAL
48%
23%
29%
|
31 | 31 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2023 |
PAL
1 - 4
HEB
53%
21%
27%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | -1 |
| 11 Aug. 2023 |
VHG
0 - 3
PAL
58%
19%
23%
|
30 | 30 | 0 | +2 |
| 06 Aug. 2023 |
PAL
1 - 3
ALT
36%
23%
42%
|
31 | 38 | 7 | -1 |
| 30 Jul. 2023 |
ETH
3 - 0
PAL
5%
12%
83%
|
35 | 9 | 26 | -4 |
Matches
Süderelbe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2023 |
SUD
8 - 0
DNB
84%
10%
7%
|
31 | 20 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2023 |
SUD
2 - 4
RUG
74%
14%
11%
|
32 | 26 | 6 | -1 |
| 13 Aug. 2023 |
HAL
2 - 0
SUD
31%
22%
47%
|
33 | 29 | 4 | -1 |
| 04 Aug. 2023 |
SUD
6 - 1
HEB
51%
20%
28%
|
31 | 33 | 2 | +2 |
| 28 Jul. 2023 |
VHG
6 - 5
SUD
39%
21%
40%
|
32 | 27 | 5 | -1 |