Paloma Hamburg vs Türkiye Wilhelmsburg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
69.1%
Win probability
2.69
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
4%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
8.3%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
5.4%
5-2
1.7%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.1%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
8%
4-2
3.2%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.4%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.7%
16.3%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
6.6%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
16.3%
14.6%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
9.2%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+36%
-57%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
63
2º
8º
6º
41
5º
13º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
79 | 82 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
74 | 77 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
70 | 73 |
3º
|
99% | |
|
5º
|
67 | 70 |
4º
|
65% | |
|
4º
|
68 | 69 |
5º
|
66% | |
|
|
6º
|
63 | 63 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
54 | 57 |
7º
|
59.5% | |
|
8º
|
54 | 54 |
8º
|
59.5% | |
|
10º
|
47 | 50 |
9º
|
78% | |
|
9º
|
48 | 48 |
10º
|
78% | |
|
11º
|
43 | 46 |
11º
|
90% | |
|
|
12º
|
41 | 41 |
12º
|
84.5% | |
|
13º
|
40 | 40 |
13º
|
92.5% | |
|
14º
|
39 | 39 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
35 | 35 |
15º
|
78.5% | |
|
16º
|
33 | 33 |
16º
|
68.5% | |
|
17º
|
31 | 31 |
17º
|
90% | |
|
19º
|
23 | 24 |
18º
|
54.5% | |
|
18º
|
23 | 23 |
19º
|
54.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Paloma Hamburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 2022 |
HAM
0 - 1
PAL
27%
22%
51%
|
33 | 25 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2022 |
PAL
5 - 0
OSD
64%
18%
18%
|
33 | 26 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
ALT
0 - 0
PAL
29%
22%
48%
|
33 | 26 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2022 |
PAL
6 - 1
CUR
60%
20%
21%
|
31 | 27 | 4 | +2 |
| 19 Aug. 2022 |
THA
3 - 0
PAL
37%
23%
41%
|
34 | 30 | 4 | -3 |
Matches
Türkiye Wilhelmsburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
WIL
1 - 1
SAS
16%
18%
66%
|
26 | 39 | 13 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2022 |
UTO
0 - 3
WIL
38%
21%
41%
|
25 | 21 | 4 | +1 |
| 26 Aug. 2022 |
HAM
2 - 0
WIL
36%
22%
42%
|
26 | 22 | 4 | -1 |
| 23 Aug. 2022 |
WIL
0 - 1
OSD
49%
21%
30%
|
27 | 26 | 1 | -1 |
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
ALT
3 - 3
WIL
47%
22%
31%
|
27 | 26 | 1 | 0 |