El Palo FC vs Lucena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
32.9%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.3%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.3%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.3%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
40.4%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
10.6%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.8%
0-2
7.2%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.9%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.7%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
El Palo FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 2013 |
PAL
1 - 2
GUA
16%
25%
59%
|
45 | 66 | 21 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2013 |
ECI
2 - 0
PAL
57%
22%
20%
|
46 | 52 | 6 | -1 |
| 29 Sep. 2013 |
PAL
2 - 0
ALG
62%
20%
17%
|
45 | 43 | 2 | +1 |
| 22 Sep. 2013 |
CAD
4 - 0
PAL
68%
20%
12%
|
46 | 59 | 13 | -1 |
| 14 Sep. 2013 |
PAL
3 - 1
SAN
35%
26%
40%
|
45 | 54 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Lucena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 2013 |
LUC
2 - 1
ECI
54%
26%
20%
|
57 | 53 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2013 |
ALG
0 - 0
LUC
25%
27%
48%
|
57 | 41 | 16 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2013 |
LUC
1 - 0
CAD
35%
28%
38%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | +1 |
| 22 Sep. 2013 |
SAN
0 - 2
LUC
47%
26%
28%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | +1 |
| 15 Sep. 2013 |
LUC
0 - 0
CPC
47%
27%
26%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | 0 |