El Palo FC B vs CD Nerja Fundación analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
77.5%
Win probability
2.74
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.3%
5-0
3.7%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.3%
4-0
6.7%
5-1
3%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10.3%
3-0
9.8%
4-1
5.5%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.6%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.3%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.5%
13.9%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
6.4%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
13.9%
8.6%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6.1%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
El Palo FC B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2012 |
CDC
3 - 2
ELP
26%
23%
52%
|
22 | 17 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2012 |
ELP
0 - 1
POR
79%
13%
8%
|
23 | 15 | 8 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 2012 |
CAR
0 - 1
ELP
18%
20%
62%
|
23 | 13 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2012 |
ELP
2 - 0
ATL
83%
11%
6%
|
23 | 12 | 11 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2012 |
ELP
2 - 1
CAL
55%
21%
25%
|
22 | 21 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
CD Nerja Fundación
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2012 |
NER
1 - 7
ATL
80%
13%
7%
|
17 | 8 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2012 |
MIJ
4 - 0
NER
17%
22%
61%
|
18 | 11 | 7 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 2012 |
NER
1 - 5
CAN
80%
13%
7%
|
20 | 11 | 9 | -2 |
| 16 Sep. 2012 |
CDL
3 - 0
NER
14%
21%
65%
|
21 | 13 | 8 | -1 |
| 09 Sep. 2012 |
NER
2 - 5
CDT
64%
20%
16%
|
22 | 18 | 4 | -1 |