Palmese vs Gelbison analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.3%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.1%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.7%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
27.5%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.3%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Palmese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2018 |
GEL
3 - 3
PAL
61%
20%
19%
|
33 | 36 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2018 |
PAL
0 - 0
CCI
56%
21%
24%
|
33 | 30 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2018 |
NOC
3 - 0
PAL
71%
18%
11%
|
34 | 44 | 10 | -1 |
| 04 Feb. 2018 |
PAL
1 - 0
POR
64%
19%
17%
|
33 | 28 | 5 | +1 |
| 28 Jan. 2018 |
ISO
1 - 2
PAL
14%
19%
67%
|
33 | 19 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Gelbison
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2018 |
GEL
1 - 1
USV
20%
27%
54%
|
33 | 46 | 13 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2018 |
AEE
5 - 0
GEL
53%
22%
25%
|
35 | 36 | 1 | -2 |
| 11 Feb. 2018 |
GEL
2 - 1
ROC
50%
25%
26%
|
34 | 32 | 2 | +1 |
| 04 Feb. 2018 |
MES
5 - 0
GEL
64%
20%
16%
|
36 | 39 | 3 | -2 |
| 28 Jan. 2018 |
GEL
1 - 0
ACP
67%
20%
13%
|
35 | 26 | 9 | +1 |