Palmeiras vs Sporting Cristal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.2%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.7%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.6%
20.2%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.8%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Palmeiras
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 May. 2025 |
PAL
0 - 2
FLA
46%
27%
27%
|
87 | 87 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2025 |
PAL
3 - 0
CEA
46%
26%
29%
|
87 | 87 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2025 |
BRA
1 - 2
PAL
46%
26%
28%
|
87 | 87 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2025 |
PAL
2 - 0
BOL
64%
20%
16%
|
87 | 71 | 16 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2025 |
PAL
1 - 0
SAO
48%
27%
26%
|
87 | 87 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Sporting Cristal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 May. 2025 |
UNI
2 - 0
SPC
40%
26%
35%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2025 |
SPC
2 - 1
ADT
50%
24%
26%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | +1 |
| 14 May. 2025 |
SPC
0 - 1
CCP
56%
22%
22%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | -1 |
| 10 May. 2025 |
AYA
1 - 4
SPC
13%
21%
66%
|
77 | 58 | 19 | +1 |
| 08 May. 2025 |
SPC
2 - 1
BOL
58%
20%
22%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | 0 |