Palmeiras vs Sporting Cristal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.5%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.4%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.7%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.1%
21.4%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Palmeiras
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 2013 |
MOG
2 - 2
PAL
18%
23%
59%
|
80 | 60 | 20 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2013 |
PAL
2 - 0
ATL
73%
18%
9%
|
80 | 60 | 20 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2013 |
XVD
3 - 3
PAL
17%
22%
61%
|
80 | 60 | 20 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2013 |
PAL
3 - 0
SAO
77%
16%
7%
|
80 | 61 | 19 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2013 |
PAL
2 - 3
PEN
77%
16%
7%
|
81 | 59 | 22 | -1 |
Matches
Sporting Cristal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 2013 |
SPC
1 - 0
SAM
62%
21%
17%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2013 |
SPC
0 - 2
NAC
45%
25%
31%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | -1 |
| 24 Jan. 2013 |
PEÑ
0 - 0
SPC
61%
21%
17%
|
77 | 83 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2012 |
SPC
3 - 3
CIE
68%
19%
12%
|
77 | 68 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2012 |
UNI
0 - 3
SPC
36%
28%
36%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | +1 |