Palmeiras vs Novorizontino analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.4%
Win probability
2.45
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
3.4%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.3%
4-0
6.9%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.3%
3-0
11.2%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.3%
2-0
13.8%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.4%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.5%
15%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
15%
7.6%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.8%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Palmeiras
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
PAL
5 - 1
PPE
82%
13%
5%
|
91 | 75 | 16 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
PAL
1 - 0
BOT
85%
11%
4%
|
90 | 69 | 21 | +1 |
| 04 Mar. 2024 |
SAO
1 - 1
PAL
43%
26%
30%
|
90 | 90 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2024 |
POR
0 - 2
PAL
8%
21%
71%
|
90 | 59 | 31 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2024 |
PAL
3 - 1
MIR
78%
15%
7%
|
90 | 79 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Novorizontino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2024 |
SAO
1 - 1
NOV
72%
18%
10%
|
80 | 90 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
NOV
2 - 0
POR
75%
16%
8%
|
80 | 60 | 20 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2024 |
PPE
1 - 1
NOV
36%
27%
37%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2024 |
NOV
1 - 0
AGU
67%
21%
12%
|
80 | 68 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
SAN
1 - 2
NOV
64%
21%
15%
|
80 | 86 | 6 | 0 |