Palmeiras vs Náutico analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62.4%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.3%
3-0
7%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.3%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.8%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
20.5%
17%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.2%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Palmeiras
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2007 |
ARN
0 - 0
PAL
21%
25%
54%
|
83 | 63 | 20 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2007 |
PAL
1 - 0
COR
56%
22%
22%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2007 |
ATP
2 - 1
PAL
44%
24%
32%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2007 |
PAL
2 - 0
GOI
54%
24%
22%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | +1 |
| 07 Sep. 2007 |
BOT
1 - 1
PAL
53%
23%
24%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Náutico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2007 |
NAU
5 - 0
ATP
39%
24%
37%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2007 |
NAU
2 - 0
SPO
58%
23%
19%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | +1 |
| 15 Sep. 2007 |
GOI
0 - 3
NAU
64%
21%
16%
|
74 | 82 | 8 | +1 |
| 10 Sep. 2007 |
NAU
4 - 1
BOT
34%
25%
41%
|
73 | 83 | 10 | +1 |
| 07 Sep. 2007 |
PAR
2 - 4
NAU
55%
25%
21%
|
72 | 80 | 8 | +1 |