Palmeiras vs Náutico analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
73.8%
Win probability
2.26
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.4%
4-0
5.9%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.9%
3-0
10.4%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.9%
2-0
13.8%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
17%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
8%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
17%
9.2%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.9%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Palmeiras
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 1994 |
PAL
1 - 0
SCI
64%
22%
14%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 1994 |
UNI
0 - 1
PAL
23%
27%
50%
|
84 | 67 | 17 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 1994 |
FLU
1 - 1
PAL
33%
28%
39%
|
84 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 1994 |
PAL
1 - 0
FLU
68%
21%
12%
|
84 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 1994 |
PAL
5 - 1
UNI
81%
14%
6%
|
84 | 68 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Náutico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 1994 |
UNI
0 - 0
NAU
49%
25%
26%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 1994 |
NAU
1 - 1
SCI
38%
28%
34%
|
69 | 78 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 1994 |
NAU
0 - 0
PAR
52%
25%
23%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 1994 |
SCI
5 - 0
NAU
59%
24%
17%
|
69 | 77 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 1994 |
PAR
1 - 1
NAU
58%
23%
19%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | 0 |