Palmeiras vs Mirassol analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78.2%
Win probability
2.43
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
3.5%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.4%
4-0
7.1%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.4%
3-0
11.8%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.6%
2-0
14.5%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.7%
1-0
12%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
14.8%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
7%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
14.8%
7%
Win probability
0.58
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.4%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Palmeiras
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
PAL
2 - 2
COR
57%
24%
19%
|
90 | 89 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2024 |
SAO
0 - 1
PAL
11%
23%
66%
|
90 | 73 | 17 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2024 |
SAN
1 - 1
PAL
6%
20%
74%
|
90 | 52 | 38 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2024 |
PAL
2 - 0
ITU
81%
13%
5%
|
90 | 75 | 15 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2024 |
PAL
0 - 0
SAO
47%
25%
28%
|
90 | 90 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Mirassol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
MIR
2 - 1
BOT
67%
20%
13%
|
79 | 69 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2024 |
ITU
1 - 1
MIR
40%
27%
33%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2024 |
MIR
2 - 2
SAN
34%
27%
40%
|
79 | 86 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2024 |
MIR
4 - 0
SAN
80%
14%
6%
|
79 | 53 | 26 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2024 |
AGU
2 - 1
MIR
27%
27%
46%
|
79 | 66 | 13 | 0 |