Palmeiras vs EC Juventude analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.5%
Win probability

1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.6%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.2%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
31.4%
Win probability

1.18
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.5%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.8%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →

+10%
-9%

Points and table prediction

Their league position

CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
26
1º
15º
3º
11
2º
19º
17º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
18º
Expected position in the table
Current table | Final expectations | |||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
![]() |
2º
|
30 | 63 |
1º
|
22% | |
![]() |
1º
|
33 | 63 |
2º
|
21.5% | |
![]() |
4º
|
26 | 60 |
3º
|
10.5% | |
![]() |
5º
|
25 | 58 |
4º
|
8% | |
![]() |
6º
|
25 | 58 |
5º
|
12% | |
![]() |
7º
|
21 | 57 |
6º
|
9.5% | |
![]() |
3º
|
27 | 57 |
7º
|
5.5% | |
![]() |
8º
|
20 | 54 |
8º
|
10.5% | |
![]() |
9º
|
20 | 53 |
9º
|
7.5% | |
![]() |
13º
|
17 | 51 |
10º
|
9% | |
![]() |
12º
|
17 | 50 |
11º
|
6% | |
![]() |
11º
|
18 | 49 |
12º
|
2.5% | |
![]() |
10º
|
19 | 49 |
13º
|
5% | |
![]() |
14º
|
16 | 48 |
14º
|
10% | |
![]() |
16º
|
14 | 47 |
15º
|
7% | |
![]() |
17º
|
14 | 47 |
16º
|
5.5% | |
![]() |
18º
|
11 | 47 |
17º
|
6.5% | |
![]() |
19º
|
11 | 45 |
18º
|
14% | |
![]() |
15º
|
15 | 45 |
19º
|
10.5% | |
![]() |
20º
|
3 | 39 |
20º
|
40.5% |
Expected probabilities | ||
---|---|---|
![]() |
![]() |
|
Champion
|
15.5% | 0% |
CONMEBOL Libertadores
|
38.5% | 2% |
CONMEBOL Libertadores qualifying phase
|
15% | 3% |
CONMEBOL Sudamericana
|
24.5% | 30% |
Mid-table
|
5% | 27.5% |
Relegation
|
1.5% | 37.5% |
ELO progression






Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Palmeiras

1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
02 Jun. 2025 |
CRZ
![]() 2 - 1
![]() PAL
42%
27%
31%
|
87 | 87 | 0 | 0 |
29 May. 2025 |
PAL
![]() 6 - 0
![]() SPC
58%
22%
20%
|
87 | 77 | 10 | 0 |
25 May. 2025 |
PAL
![]() 0 - 2
![]() FLA
46%
27%
27%
|
87 | 87 | 0 | 0 |
23 May. 2025 |
PAL
![]() 3 - 0
![]() CEA
46%
26%
29%
|
87 | 87 | 0 | 0 |
18 May. 2025 |
BRA
![]() 1 - 2
![]() PAL
46%
26%
28%
|
87 | 87 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
EC Juventude

1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
01 Jun. 2025 |
JUV
![]() 0 - 2
![]() GRE
48%
25%
27%
|
87 | 87 | 0 | 0 |
27 May. 2025 |
BRA
![]() 1 - 0
![]() JUV
45%
25%
30%
|
87 | 87 | 0 | 0 |
18 May. 2025 |
JUV
![]() 1 - 1
![]() FLU
50%
25%
24%
|
87 | 87 | 0 | 0 |
10 May. 2025 |
FOR
![]() 5 - 0
![]() JUV
44%
26%
30%
|
87 | 87 | 0 | 0 |
06 May. 2025 |
JUV
![]() 0 - 1
![]() ATM
52%
25%
23%
|
87 | 87 | 0 | 0 |