Palmeiras vs Botafogo SP analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
72.7%
Win probability
2.25
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.2%
4-0
5.6%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.6%
3-0
10%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.5%
2-0
13.3%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.8%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
17.3%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.3%
9.9%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.4%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+20%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Palmeiras
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 2025 |
PAL
0 - 0
SAO
53%
24%
23%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2025 |
INT
0 - 3
PAL
18%
25%
57%
|
88 | 67 | 21 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2025 |
AGU
1 - 1
PAL
19%
25%
56%
|
88 | 69 | 19 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2025 |
PAL
1 - 1
COR
52%
25%
24%
|
88 | 89 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2025 |
GUA
1 - 4
PAL
29%
27%
44%
|
88 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Botafogo SP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 2025 |
PPE
0 - 0
BOT
54%
24%
22%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2025 |
BOT
1 - 0
BRA
22%
25%
52%
|
77 | 87 | 10 | +1 |
| 08 Feb. 2025 |
BOT
1 - 0
VEL
72%
19%
9%
|
77 | 58 | 19 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2025 |
SAN
1 - 1
BOT
77%
15%
8%
|
77 | 89 | 12 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2025 |
POR
3 - 2
BOT
19%
25%
57%
|
77 | 63 | 14 | 0 |