Palmeiras vs Botafogo SP analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
69.4%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.2%
3-0
9.5%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
13%
2-0
14.1%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.4%
1-0
14%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
19.5%
11%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
3%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.2%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Palmeiras
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2013 |
SAO
1 - 1
PAL
24%
24%
52%
|
80 | 65 | 15 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2013 |
PAL
2 - 1
PAU
72%
19%
10%
|
80 | 61 | 19 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2013 |
SAO
0 - 0
PAL
61%
23%
16%
|
80 | 87 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2013 |
TIG
1 - 0
PAL
50%
25%
26%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2013 |
LIB
2 - 0
PAL
43%
26%
30%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Botafogo SP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2013 |
PAU
1 - 1
BOT
39%
25%
36%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2013 |
BOT
2 - 0
MOG
49%
24%
27%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | +1 |
| 02 Mar. 2013 |
SAO
0 - 1
BOT
54%
23%
23%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | +1 |
| 23 Feb. 2013 |
BOT
1 - 0
PEN
52%
23%
25%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | +1 |
| 16 Feb. 2013 |
MIR
4 - 3
BOT
36%
25%
39%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | -1 |