Liga Brasileña Sub 17 Quarter-finals
Global 6-4
Palmeiras U17 vs Fluminense U17 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
66.3%
Win probability
2.41
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.1%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7%
3-0
7%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
13%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.4%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.1%
18%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
18%
15.7%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
10%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Palmeiras U17
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2023 |
FLU
2 - 2
PAL
32%
23%
45%
|
57 | 52 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2023 |
PAL
3 - 3
SPA
77%
14%
9%
|
57 | 44 | 13 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2023 |
BAH
3 - 4
PAL
9%
15%
76%
|
57 | 30 | 27 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2023 |
PAL
1 - 3
ATH
70%
17%
14%
|
58 | 50 | 8 | -1 |
| 09 Aug. 2023 |
FOR
0 - 2
PAL
7%
13%
80%
|
58 | 25 | 33 | 0 |
Matches
Fluminense U17
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2023 |
FLU
2 - 2
PAL
32%
23%
45%
|
52 | 57 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2023 |
FLU
1 - 1
AME
82%
12%
6%
|
52 | 28 | 24 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2023 |
BOT
1 - 1
FLU
20%
22%
58%
|
52 | 37 | 15 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2023 |
FLU
2 - 1
COR
67%
19%
15%
|
52 | 45 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2023 |
ATL
2 - 3
FLU
21%
23%
56%
|
51 | 38 | 13 | +1 |