Palmeiras II vs Atlético Sorocaba analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
18.9%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.5%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.9%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
5.1%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.1%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.1%
60%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.5%
0-2
9.5%
1-3
6.7%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
18.3%
0-3
6.4%
1-4
3.4%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.6%
0-4
3.3%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.9%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.9%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Palmeiras II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 2007 |
SEP
0 - 0
CAT
55%
21%
24%
|
38 | 36 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2007 |
POR
4 - 1
SEP
74%
16%
10%
|
39 | 54 | 15 | -1 |
| 21 Jan. 2007 |
SEP
1 - 1
UNI
23%
21%
56%
|
38 | 49 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
Atlético Sorocaba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 2007 |
ATL
3 - 2
INT
43%
25%
33%
|
54 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2007 |
ATL
2 - 0
ECN
18%
21%
61%
|
52 | 70 | 18 | +2 |
| 21 Jan. 2007 |
MIR
2 - 0
ATL
50%
23%
27%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 2005 |
MOG
2 - 2
ATL
50%
24%
25%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2005 |
ATL
3 - 1
POR
48%
26%
27%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | 0 |