Tocantinense Final
Global 4-1
Palmas FR vs Tocantinópolis analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.3%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.6%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.7%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.4%
22.4%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.2%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-45%
-17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Palmas FR
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jun. 2019 |
TOC
0 - 1
PAL
33%
26%
42%
|
37 | 32 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 2019 |
PAL
2 - 1
INT
57%
23%
20%
|
36 | 30 | 6 | +1 |
| 09 Jun. 2019 |
PAL
1 - 0
COR
24%
26%
51%
|
34 | 45 | 11 | +2 |
| 05 Jun. 2019 |
INT
2 - 2
PAL
37%
25%
38%
|
35 | 30 | 5 | -1 |
| 01 Jun. 2019 |
IPO
1 - 0
PAL
68%
21%
11%
|
35 | 47 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Tocantinópolis
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jun. 2019 |
TOC
0 - 1
PAL
33%
26%
42%
|
32 | 37 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 2019 |
FJE
1 - 1
TOC
22%
21%
57%
|
32 | 22 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 2019 |
TOC
1 - 0
FJE
60%
21%
20%
|
32 | 22 | 10 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2019 |
TOC
1 - 1
INT
45%
25%
29%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2019 |
INT
2 - 3
TOC
48%
24%
28%
|
31 | 33 | 2 | +1 |