El Palmar vs CDU Malacitano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
32.2%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.4%
2-0
5%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.2%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.3%
25%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25%
42.8%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
9%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
21.6%
0-2
7%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
12.8%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.7%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-26%
+30%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
34
3º
16º
11º
58
1º
4º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
70 | 70 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
58 | 58 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
58 | 58 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
54 | 54 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
52 | 52 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
50 | 50 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
44 | 44 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
40 | 40 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
39 | 39 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
35 | 35 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
|
11º
|
34 | 34 |
11º
|
50% | |
|
12º
|
31 | 34 |
12º
|
50% | |
|
13º
|
30 | 30 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
25 | 25 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
21 | 21 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
20 | 20 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
El Palmar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2022 |
AGU
1 - 0
EGP
78%
15%
7%
|
27 | 46 | 19 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
EGP
2 - 3
LOR
40%
25%
35%
|
28 | 31 | 3 | -1 |
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
MSM
1 - 3
EGP
23%
23%
54%
|
27 | 19 | 8 | +1 |
| 01 May. 2022 |
EGP
2 - 0
CAP
49%
24%
27%
|
26 | 26 | 0 | +1 |
| 24 Apr. 2022 |
YEC
3 - 2
EGP
83%
12%
5%
|
26 | 47 | 21 | 0 |
Matches
CDU Malacitano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2022 |
LAU
3 - 0
ALC
79%
15%
7%
|
34 | 20 | 14 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
BUL
0 - 3
LAU
21%
25%
54%
|
33 | 23 | 10 | +1 |
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
LAU
3 - 0
UCA
46%
25%
30%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | +2 |
| 13 Aug. 2022 |
MAR
0 - 2
LAU
62%
24%
14%
|
30 | 46 | 16 | +1 |
| 08 May. 2022 |
CAR
1 - 0
LAU
46%
25%
30%
|
31 | 30 | 1 | -1 |