El Palmar vs Lorca FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
16.1%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1%
2-0
2.3%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.8%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
4.4%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
11%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.3%
62.6%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
0-1
11.7%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.7%
0-2
11.4%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
19.3%
0-3
7.4%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
11%
0-4
3.6%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
1.8%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
El Palmar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 2013 |
BUL
2 - 2
EGP
55%
23%
21%
|
22 | 25 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2013 |
EGP
2 - 2
FOR
45%
25%
31%
|
22 | 22 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2013 |
BAL
3 - 0
EGP
45%
25%
30%
|
24 | 23 | 1 | -2 |
| 24 Mar. 2013 |
EGP
2 - 1
PIN
60%
22%
18%
|
23 | 19 | 4 | +1 |
| 17 Mar. 2013 |
IMP
2 - 1
EGP
60%
24%
16%
|
24 | 33 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Lorca FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2013 |
JUM
2 - 1
LOR
31%
25%
45%
|
43 | 35 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2013 |
LOR
5 - 1
BUL
81%
13%
7%
|
42 | 26 | 16 | +1 |
| 07 Apr. 2013 |
FOR
1 - 2
LOR
15%
21%
65%
|
42 | 23 | 19 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2013 |
LOR
5 - 0
BAL
80%
13%
7%
|
42 | 24 | 18 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2013 |
PIN
1 - 3
LOR
13%
21%
67%
|
42 | 20 | 22 | 0 |