La Palma vs Ud Bornense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.3%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.7%
2-0
10%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.6%
21.1%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.8%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
La Palma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jan. 2009 |
COR
1 - 0
LAP
30%
24%
46%
|
21 | 17 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 2009 |
ICR
1 - 1
LAP
33%
26%
41%
|
22 | 18 | 4 | -1 |
| 21 Dec. 2008 |
LAP
2 - 1
THA
62%
22%
16%
|
21 | 18 | 3 | +1 |
| 14 Dec. 2008 |
LAP
0 - 3
UDR
60%
22%
18%
|
22 | 19 | 3 | -1 |
| 06 Dec. 2008 |
CDR
1 - 1
LAP
38%
26%
36%
|
23 | 20 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Ud Bornense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jan. 2009 |
UDB
1 - 0
ICR
52%
24%
24%
|
19 | 18 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 2009 |
UDB
1 - 3
UDR
45%
25%
30%
|
20 | 20 | 0 | -1 |
| 20 Dec. 2008 |
XRZ
1 - 0
UDB
44%
27%
30%
|
20 | 20 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2008 |
UDB
3 - 3
CON
35%
25%
41%
|
20 | 23 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2008 |
SRL
2 - 1
UDB
30%
25%
45%
|
21 | 16 | 5 | -1 |