La Palma vs Gibraleón analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.6%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.7%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.2%
22%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22%
25.4%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.8%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
La Palma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Feb. 2016 |
LAP
2 - 0
MAN
55%
21%
24%
|
11 | 12 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2016 |
CAN
4 - 2
LAP
44%
24%
33%
|
13 | 12 | 1 | -2 |
| 24 Jan. 2016 |
SAN
1 - 3
LAP
29%
22%
50%
|
12 | 9 | 3 | +1 |
| 16 Jan. 2016 |
LAP
4 - 1
PLU
75%
15%
11%
|
12 | 7 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2016 |
LAP
3 - 0
ALJ
66%
19%
16%
|
11 | 9 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Gibraleón
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Feb. 2016 |
PLU
2 - 1
OCF
17%
19%
64%
|
14 | 8 | 6 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2016 |
OCF
2 - 0
ALJ
72%
17%
11%
|
13 | 7 | 6 | +1 |
| 24 Jan. 2016 |
CAM
3 - 2
OCF
26%
22%
53%
|
14 | 12 | 2 | -1 |
| 16 Jan. 2016 |
OCF
1 - 0
VIL
77%
14%
9%
|
15 | 7 | 8 | -1 |
| 10 Jan. 2016 |
OCF
2 - 1
SBA
79%
13%
8%
|
15 | 7 | 8 | 0 |