La Palma vs Moron analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
68.7%
Win probability
2.49
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.5%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.7%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.8%
2-0
9%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.9%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.8%
17.2%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.2%
14.1%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
9.2%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
La Palma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 1959 |
CIR
1 - 2
LAP
47%
23%
30%
|
24 | 20 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 1959 |
LAP
2 - 1
POR
42%
23%
35%
|
23 | 33 | 10 | +1 |
| 11 Oct. 1959 |
SEV
1 - 0
LAP
89%
7%
3%
|
23 | 49 | 26 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 1959 |
LAP
4 - 1
BAR
62%
19%
19%
|
22 | 23 | 1 | +1 |
| 27 Sep. 1959 |
JER
4 - 0
LAP
82%
12%
7%
|
22 | 30 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Moron
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 1959 |
UDM
1 - 2
ARC
65%
19%
17%
|
25 | 25 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 1959 |
CIR
2 - 1
UDM
41%
24%
35%
|
26 | 18 | 8 | -1 |
| 11 Oct. 1959 |
UDM
0 - 3
VIC
82%
11%
7%
|
27 | 19 | 8 | -1 |
| 04 Oct. 1959 |
POR
2 - 0
UDM
73%
16%
11%
|
28 | 31 | 3 | -1 |
| 27 Sep. 1959 |
UDM
3 - 2
LEB
82%
12%
7%
|
28 | 20 | 8 | 0 |