Gold Coast City vs SWQ Thunder analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
81.8%
Win probability
3.02
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.4%
6-0
2.4%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.3%
5-0
4.7%
6-1
1.8%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.9%
4-0
7.7%
5-1
3.7%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
12.2%
3-0
10.2%
4-1
6.1%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.9%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.5%
11.6%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
5.3%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
11.6%
6.6%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
1.7%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
4.8%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gold Coast City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2017 |
SUN
0 - 4
PAL
11%
18%
71%
|
39 | 20 | 19 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2017 |
PAL
2 - 1
BRI
68%
18%
14%
|
39 | 29 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2017 |
FNQ
3 - 2
PAL
29%
21%
50%
|
41 | 33 | 8 | -2 |
| 25 Jan. 2017 |
WOL
2 - 3
PAL
32%
21%
47%
|
39 | 30 | 9 | +2 |
| 20 Aug. 2016 |
SUN
2 - 5
PAL
14%
17%
69%
|
38 | 21 | 17 | +1 |
Matches
SWQ Thunder
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2017 |
RED
1 - 0
SWQ
81%
11%
8%
|
21 | 31 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2017 |
SWQ
2 - 2
SUN
58%
18%
23%
|
21 | 20 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2017 |
BRI
4 - 1
SWQ
69%
16%
15%
|
23 | 29 | 6 | -2 |
| 20 Aug. 2016 |
FNQ
0 - 2
SWQ
78%
13%
9%
|
21 | 32 | 11 | +2 |
| 13 Aug. 2016 |
WES
3 - 0
SWQ
45%
21%
34%
|
21 | 21 | 0 | 0 |