Gold Coast City vs Noosa Lions analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
82%
Win probability
2.73
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
2.1%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.6%
5-0
4.5%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.9%
4-0
8.3%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.4%
3-0
12.2%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18%
2-0
13.4%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.3%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.3%
12.3%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
5.9%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
12.3%
5.7%
Win probability
0.6
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.4%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gold Coast City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jun. 2015 |
NOF
0 - 3
PAL
16%
19%
65%
|
36 | 21 | 15 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 2015 |
OLY
0 - 0
PAL
72%
15%
14%
|
36 | 42 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2015 |
PAL
2 - 2
BRR
66%
18%
16%
|
36 | 30 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2015 |
PAL
3 - 1
FNQ
49%
21%
30%
|
35 | 34 | 1 | +1 |
| 16 May. 2015 |
MOR
4 - 1
PAL
60%
19%
22%
|
37 | 38 | 1 | -2 |