Palm Beach vs Surfers Paradise Apollo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
10.2%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
0.1%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1.1%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
2.4%
1-0
2.3%
2-1
3%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
7%
14.5%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
6.4%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
14.5%
75.3%
Win probability
2.76
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.5%
0-2
9.4%
1-3
8.1%
2-4
2.6%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0%
-2
20.7%
0-3
8.7%
1-4
5.6%
2-5
1.5%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
16%
0-4
6%
1-5
3.1%
2-6
0.7%
3-7
0.1%
-4
9.8%
0-5
3.3%
1-6
1.4%
2-7
0.3%
3-8
0%
-5
5%
0-6
1.5%
1-7
0.6%
2-8
0.1%
-6
2.2%
0-7
0.6%
1-8
0.2%
2-9
0%
-7
0.8%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0.1%
-8
0.3%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Palm Beach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 May. 2017 |
PBS
2 - 3
GCK
8%
14%
78%
|
10 | 48 | 38 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2017 |
PBS
2 - 3
GCK
8%
14%
78%
|
11 | 48 | 37 | -1 |
| 14 Mar. 2017 |
PBS
3 - 1
MAG
49%
22%
30%
|
10 | 9 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Surfers Paradise Apollo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 2017 |
BUS
0 - 2
SPA
15%
17%
68%
|
20 | 12 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2017 |
TUF
0 - 10
SPA
11%
16%
73%
|
20 | 9 | 11 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2016 |
CAN
1 - 0
SPA
84%
10%
6%
|
20 | 43 | 23 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2016 |
SPA
2 - 0
SUN
32%
21%
47%
|
19 | 22 | 3 | +1 |
| 07 May. 2016 |
SPA
5 - 3
SWQ
42%
22%
36%
|
18 | 18 | 0 | +1 |