Palillo vs Casserres analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.4%
Win probability
2.28
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.3%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
15.5%
1-0
4.5%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
5.3%
4-3
1.6%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.2%
20%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.9%
4-4
0.7%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
20%
27.7%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
14.5%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
8%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-76%
+45%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Palillo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jan. 2023 |
CLL
1 - 4
PAL
54%
20%
26%
|
14 | 15 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2022 |
PAL
2 - 6
AVI
35%
21%
44%
|
15 | 18 | 3 | -1 |
| 10 Dec. 2022 |
SSC
1 - 1
PAL
53%
21%
26%
|
15 | 17 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2022 |
PAL
1 - 2
PUI
63%
17%
20%
|
16 | 13 | 3 | -1 |
| 13 Nov. 2022 |
MON
1 - 6
PAL
13%
17%
71%
|
16 | 7 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Casserres
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jan. 2023 |
CAS
8 - 1
MON
78%
14%
9%
|
14 | 7 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2022 |
BAL
3 - 6
CAS
12%
15%
72%
|
14 | 7 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2022 |
CAS
2 - 1
GIR
32%
22%
46%
|
13 | 16 | 3 | +1 |
| 27 Nov. 2022 |
OLV
0 - 4
CAS
28%
22%
50%
|
12 | 10 | 2 | +1 |
| 19 Nov. 2022 |
CAS
4 - 0
VIL
65%
18%
17%
|
12 | 7 | 5 | 0 |