Palestino vs Univ. Concepción analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37.8%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.1%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.9%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.2%
27.2%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.2%
35%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.2%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.9%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Palestino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 2018 |
PAL
2 - 3
OHI
43%
27%
31%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2018 |
IQU
2 - 1
PAL
43%
26%
31%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | -1 |
| 14 Apr. 2018 |
PAL
2 - 1
EVE
46%
26%
28%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | +1 |
| 08 Apr. 2018 |
UCO
2 - 1
PAL
60%
22%
18%
|
70 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2018 |
PAL
1 - 1
ANT
37%
28%
36%
|
71 | 77 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Univ. Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 2018 |
UCH
1 - 2
UCO
49%
25%
26%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2018 |
UCO
2 - 0
EVE
49%
27%
25%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | +1 |
| 14 Apr. 2018 |
ULC
1 - 3
UCO
29%
28%
43%
|
74 | 63 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2018 |
UCO
1 - 0
ACS
42%
27%
32%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | +3 |
| 01 Apr. 2018 |
IQU
1 - 3
UCO
45%
26%
29%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | -2 |