Palestino vs Univ. Concepción analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.6%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
6%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.5%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.2%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.5%
19.9%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
13.5%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Palestino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Dec. 2016 |
PAL
1 - 2
COL
45%
26%
29%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2016 |
CSL
0 - 2
PAL
36%
26%
38%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | +1 |
| 28 Nov. 2016 |
PAL
2 - 0
UNI
47%
26%
28%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2016 |
ACS
2 - 1
PAL
38%
26%
36%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2016 |
PAL
2 - 0
DEP
58%
23%
18%
|
76 | 68 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Univ. Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Dec. 2016 |
CSL
2 - 0
UCO
45%
26%
29%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2016 |
UCO
3 - 1
OHI
36%
27%
37%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2016 |
UCO
2 - 0
UCO
63%
20%
16%
|
72 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2016 |
UCO
2 - 2
HUA
39%
27%
34%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2016 |
SWA
2 - 0
UCO
48%
26%
26%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | -1 |