Apertura Finals Semi-finals
Global 3-1
Palestino vs Univ. Concepción analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.8%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.2%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.9%
25%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25%
31.2%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.9%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.8%
0-3
2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Palestino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Dec. 2015 |
PAL
1 - 0
SAN
52%
25%
24%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2015 |
HUA
0 - 0
PAL
48%
25%
28%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2015 |
PAL
2 - 0
COL
38%
25%
36%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | +1 |
| 06 Nov. 2015 |
ANT
0 - 2
PAL
41%
27%
32%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | +1 |
| 01 Nov. 2015 |
PAL
1 - 1
ULC
55%
24%
22%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Univ. Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Dec. 2015 |
UCO
3 - 1
OHI
47%
25%
28%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2015 |
COL
1 - 0
UCO
48%
25%
27%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2015 |
UCO
1 - 2
ULC
60%
23%
17%
|
77 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2015 |
UCH
2 - 0
UCO
49%
24%
27%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2015 |
SWA
1 - 2
UCO
42%
26%
32%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |