Palestino vs Univ. Concepción analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.6%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.2%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
27.5%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Palestino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 2015 |
PAL
4 - 0
ZAM
59%
23%
19%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2015 |
ANT
1 - 2
PAL
48%
26%
26%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | +1 |
| 02 Apr. 2015 |
SWA
0 - 3
PAL
53%
24%
23%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | +1 |
| 28 Mar. 2015 |
UCO
3 - 2
PAL
46%
24%
29%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | -1 |
| 25 Mar. 2015 |
PAL
1 - 1
HUA
42%
25%
33%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Univ. Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 2015 |
UCO
3 - 2
SAN
53%
25%
23%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2015 |
UCO
3 - 2
PAL
46%
24%
29%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | +1 |
| 22 Mar. 2015 |
CSL
2 - 1
UCO
51%
25%
24%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2015 |
UCO
2 - 2
NUB
45%
25%
30%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2015 |
COL
3 - 0
UCO
51%
25%
24%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | -1 |