Palestino vs Univ. Concepción analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.4%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.6%
2-0
9%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.7%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
25.8%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.3%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Palestino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 2011 |
DLS
2 - 3
PAL
57%
23%
20%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2011 |
PAL
1 - 2
UCO
32%
26%
42%
|
72 | 77 | 5 | -1 |
| 27 Feb. 2011 |
CSL
2 - 1
PAL
51%
25%
24%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2011 |
PAL
0 - 3
COL
38%
26%
36%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | -1 |
| 19 Feb. 2011 |
SWA
1 - 1
PAL
46%
27%
27%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Univ. Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2011 |
UCO
1 - 0
ACS
28%
25%
48%
|
69 | 77 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2011 |
ULC
2 - 0
UCO
39%
27%
35%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | -1 |
| 27 Feb. 2011 |
UCO
1 - 5
UCH
36%
27%
37%
|
71 | 77 | 6 | -1 |
| 24 Feb. 2011 |
IQU
1 - 3
UCO
40%
27%
34%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | +1 |
| 20 Feb. 2011 |
UCO
0 - 1
COB
45%
26%
29%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | 0 |