Palestino vs Univ. Concepción analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.2%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.3%
2-0
8%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.3%
28.5%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.1%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Palestino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jul. 2008 |
CSD
1 - 1
PAL
54%
25%
22%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2008 |
EVE
0 - 1
PAL
58%
23%
19%
|
67 | 73 | 6 | +1 |
| 12 Jul. 2008 |
PAL
1 - 1
SAN
48%
25%
28%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2008 |
COL
0 - 0
PAL
69%
19%
12%
|
67 | 77 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Jun. 2008 |
PAL
2 - 3
OHI
44%
27%
30%
|
67 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Univ. Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jul. 2008 |
UCO
4 - 1
CDP
60%
22%
18%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2008 |
HUA
1 - 1
UCO
57%
22%
20%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2008 |
UCO
1 - 2
COL
35%
26%
40%
|
68 | 77 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2008 |
EVE
2 - 1
UCO
51%
24%
25%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | -1 |
| 28 Jun. 2008 |
UCO
3 - 1
ANT
62%
22%
16%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | +1 |