Palestino vs Univ. Concepción analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.8%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.5%
34.5%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.3%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.9%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Palestino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug. 2007 |
HUA
2 - 1
PAL
69%
19%
12%
|
64 | 77 | 13 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2007 |
PAL
1 - 1
NUB
41%
25%
34%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2007 |
COQ
2 - 3
PAL
37%
27%
37%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | +1 |
| 06 Aug. 2007 |
PAL
1 - 1
UCO
31%
27%
41%
|
63 | 77 | 14 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2007 |
PUE
2 - 1
PAL
42%
26%
32%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Univ. Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug. 2007 |
UCO
2 - 0
PUE
64%
21%
16%
|
69 | 61 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2007 |
COL
2 - 2
UCO
71%
17%
12%
|
68 | 77 | 9 | +1 |
| 05 Aug. 2007 |
UCO
1 - 1
EVE
54%
24%
22%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2007 |
COQ
0 - 1
UCO
30%
26%
44%
|
68 | 60 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2007 |
UCO
1 - 1
UCH
43%
26%
31%
|
68 | 74 | 6 | 0 |