Palestino vs U. Católica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.5%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.9%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.1%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.2%
21.3%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.7%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-6%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
24
1º
7º
2º
18
1º
8º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
4º
|
22 | 51 |
1º
|
31% | |
|
|
3º
|
24 | 49 |
2º
|
18% | |
|
2º
|
26 | 49 |
3º
|
15% | |
|
5º
|
22 | 48 |
4º
|
15% | |
|
1º
|
26 | 48 |
5º
|
14.5% | |
|
|
7º
|
18 | 44 |
6º
|
11% | |
|
9º
|
17 | 43 |
7º
|
11.5% | |
|
6º
|
20 | 42 |
8º
|
13% | |
|
8º
|
18 | 40 |
9º
|
8% | |
|
10º
|
17 | 39 |
10º
|
11.5% | |
|
11º
|
16 | 39 |
11º
|
13% | |
|
12º
|
15 | 38 |
12º
|
11% | |
|
13º
|
12 | 34 |
13º
|
10.5% | |
|
15º
|
7 | 33 |
14º
|
17.5% | |
|
14º
|
11 | 33 |
15º
|
17% | |
|
16º
|
5 | 30 |
16º
|
36% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champion
|
19% | 3% |
|
CONMEBOL Libertadores
|
31% | 12.5% |
|
CONMEBOL Sudamericana
|
34% | 39.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
15% | 41.5% |
|
Relegation
|
1% | 3.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Palestino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 May. 2025 |
PAL
0 - 2
MUS
48%
23%
29%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2025 |
COQ
0 - 0
PAL
36%
28%
35%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2025 |
LIM
0 - 1
PAL
37%
26%
36%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2025 |
CRZ
2 - 1
PAL
64%
21%
15%
|
76 | 87 | 11 | -1 |
| 11 May. 2025 |
ACS
2 - 2
PAL
41%
24%
35%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
U. Católica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 May. 2025 |
UCO
1 - 3
DLS
43%
26%
31%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2025 |
OHI
2 - 0
UCO
42%
27%
31%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | -1 |
| 11 May. 2025 |
EVE
2 - 1
UCO
38%
26%
36%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2025 |
UCH
1 - 0
UCO
41%
28%
31%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2025 |
UCO
6 - 0
EVE
44%
26%
30%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |